In the United States Chi 库詹姆斯敦 Foundation recently held a meeting of experts on Chinese defense and security Conference, the U.S. experts on China’s military development set out its views and expert assessment that, despite China’s high-level principle to support the development of naval power , but did not explicitly promise to provide expensive resources to develop blue water naval capability and the PLA in the past 20 years, only the construction of two supply ships, which show that China has not yet decided to build a blue water navy, but remains committed to winning war against Taiwan, and the protection of coastal security. The participating experts also believe that China’s air force is the existence of significant deficiencies, especially lack of strategic transport aircraft, the limited ability of the logistic support.
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In the second meeting of the China Chamber of defense and security, experts around the development trend of China’s conventional military modernization of the topic. Host Michael MacDermid Wei, Major General – Senior Fellow, Center of Naval Analysis study, project leader of the center – said that, since 1979 PLA modernization process proved that this is a The MacDermid Wei said, recalling the PLA modernization efforts in the past two decades, China to build their own capacity systemic left a deep impression – first the development of new concepts and new theories, and after the experiment and test. However, Matt Wei pointed out that many of the capabilities of the PLA has not experienced real combat test.
Dennis Blasco, former U.S. military attache in China (1992-1995) around the PLA self-evaluation and modernization of direction He spent some time explaining the term habit of the People’s Liberation Army and other Chinese officials, and stressed that the meaning of these terms on behalf of the Cold War has. Blasco also describes the PLA’s view of self and the outside world any different. For example, the PLA’s People’s Liberation Army leaders believe that this process began 30 years ago, will continue for decades, and continue until at least 2049. Sometimes, the process is called revolution in military affairs of the In contrast, the preparations for military struggle According to Blasco, Chinese military strategists often point out that the People’s Liberation Army are often reluctant or even afraid of using new equipment (new equipment will need to give up its existing proven equipment), to try new practices and the introduction of new tactics, techniques and procedures . Therefore, when the Chinese leaders called on the Chinese military to do the preparations for military struggle, they hope that the People’s Liberation Army forces to improve its combat readiness, not as misunderstood in the recent Western publications, for the upcoming war in preparation.
Blasco also initiated discussions for a variety of the People’s Liberation Army Among them, the most important is to safeguard China’s Castles in the party’s leadership position. The People’s Liberation Army is still claiming to be the party’s army. Other tasks include deterrence, combat, and, more recently, non-security missions – the United States said non-war military operations. Blasco also stressed the PLA’s The People’s Liberation Army System system operational capability terms to describe the joint action. People’s Liberation Army leaders said they were in this effort is still in testing and training phase. People’s Liberation Army are still learning how to command and control of joint operations. In fact, when the People’s Liberation Army said they are doing, Western analysts said the joint action is different from Western analysts said the Confrontation of the two armies warships and fighter of the sea and air, the People’s Liberation Army often used the term
Blasco said that the Chinese Government believes that there is a gap between the PLA’s objectives and its ability. They admit that the People’s Liberation Army is not yet ready to run the Chinese leadership to all the historical mission entrusted to it, naturally does not have the ability to effective large-scale joint operation under war conditions. These assessments do not appear in the defense white paper released by the Chinese government, so its audience is not a foreign reader, may be mainly in order to urge the People’s Liberation Army in their efforts to do better.
According to Blasco, the PLA leadership that its two to three years behind. PLA analysts have very clear, an effective strength is much more than just shiny equipment Since the 1979 Vietnam war, the PLA will not have started large-scale military operations. Chinese military literature often describes the vision, rather than the existing capacity of the People’s Liberation Army. For example, a People’s Liberation Army colonel may be pointed out that the United States relies on space and network support issues, and recommended that the People’s Liberation Army must take advantage of these vulnerabilities, but the PLA is still a need to develop the ability to do so.
U.S. National War College history professor Bernard – Cole (by Bernard Cole describes the PLA ambitions and capabilities among other inconsistencies. He also noted that the evidence of the fierce budget battle between the leaders of the People’s Liberation Army Navy, and that these compete with foreign armed forces exist. Cole believes that the Chinese government’s statement confirmed that China’s political leadership to support in principle for the PLA Navy, but not a clear commitment to develop blue water naval capabilities required expensive resources.
Cole said that in the past 20 years, the PLA only the construction of two supply ships, which show that China has not yet decided to build a blue water navy. The Chinese navy look remains committed to winning the war against Taiwan (so pay attention to Beijing to buy conventional submarines) and the protection of coastal security. If China starts construction of such supply ships, Cole may believe this is the obvious signs of the PLA Navy to seek a true blue water capability. Says Cole in Taiwan problem can be resolved Beijing satisfactory manner, then such a change may occur and may occur very quickly. Until then, the PLA Navy will focus on to improve their maintenance and training, better use of their new equipment. These new systems include both Chinese-made weapons, including the system of import from Russia; in recent years, China’s imports from Russia has been reduced now by the engine and other vital parts. In addition, a number of advanced engine purchased from Germany and other foreign suppliers. Cole found that the evidence also shows that the increasing interest in the People’s Liberation Army on humanitarian relief and military operations (as opposed to the war).
Cole believes that the People’s Liberation Army Navy has not yet developed a clear maritime strategy. He pointed out that foreign analysts of the PLA analysts, they have yet to be determined perhaps for this purpose document. Cole said, even Singapore has a more mature maritime strategy. Conversely, the PLA Navy only firm goal declaration. Cole did not attach importance to the famous Now, the PLA Navy strategists talking about be able to control the surrounding China Sea (East Sea, South China Sea and Yellow Sea), the performance of more sincere these. And in these waters, perform routine marine patrol tasks (such as fisheries) China Coast Guard, rather than the People’s Liberation Army Navy.
U.S. Defense Group Inc. (DGI) Intelligence Research and Analysis Center (CIRA), senior researcher Kenneth – Allen, Kenneth Allen, speaks of the Allen most of the descriptions are concentrated in one respect, that is how low the level of participation of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force in the main action of the PLA and foreign armed forces development. Overseas military attache in China, almost no PLA Air Force officials, and only a small number of foreign armies, air attaché accredited to Beijing, which indicates that the institutions of foreign armed forces that this practice does not promote the role of contact between them and the People’s Liberation Army. In addition, the PLA Air Force rarely participate in functional communication or leadership to visit.
According to Allen, said the PLA Air Force is clearly to improve the transparency with the U.S. Air Force was not interested. Commander of the PLA Air Force last visit to the United States in 1995, and his tour of that visit to the United States was interrupted by the Clinton administration to allow the Taiwan leader’s visit to the United States. In addition, the commander of the PLA Air Force originally planned to visit the United States in 2008, but later canceled because of China’s major earthquake. PLA officials in the development of close military relations with the United States, there are three major obstacles: the exercise of U.S. arms sales to Congress on the bilateral military exchange restrictions and the U.S. military in China’s coastal areas are often held. Capacity, Allen pointed out that the PLA Air Force, there are major logistical constraints. Air Force, the lack of strategic airlift platform, so have modified Il-76 long-range transport aircraft and the tanker was originally purchased for the liberation of airborne troops, used to support the Air Force. Currently, these aircraft have been able to fly to Libya and other distant places. And the PLA Air Force to participate in only a few games of joint exercises, but also with neighboring foreign Air Force held a joint exercise, including Pakistan, Central Asia and the Turkish Air Force (2010). Allen found it difficult to get information about these exercises from the Chinese press reports. These exercises seemed to be intended to help the Air Force to improve its limited logistical capacity.
In addition, according to Allen revealed that the PLA Air Force there are still other problems. These problems include the excessive use of aircraft (and pilots) did not receive adequate maintenance, and poor quality of Chinese-made engine (so that the PLA must purchase from Russia and other countries for the highest performance aircraft engines
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